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Recent Research


CNTA/4502/ALKS: Differentiation challenges for CNTA ORX750 orexin agonist vs Takeda in NT1&2, despite clean phase 1
Ahead of CNTA’s ORX750 phase 2 data and after the recent publication of Takeda’s orexin agonist oveporexton (TAK-861) two phase 3 trials, interest in competitor orexin agonists from CNTA and ALKS in both narcolepsy type I (NT1), as well as related narcolepsy type II (NT2) and hyper insomnia, have come back into focus. We undertake an in-depth analysis of the current orexin agonist efficacy and safety data to make a like-for-like comparison of oveporexton with Centessa’s ve
Oct 14


RARE/MREO: ORBIT UX143 P2 improvements NOT solely due to natural progress seen with age
Ahead of Ultragenyx's [RARE] 4Q25 ORBIT Osteogenesis Imperfecta setrusumab phase III, our comprehensive report reveals phase II improvements in bone density and fracture reduction are unlikely attributable solely to the natural improvement in osteogenesis with age but are likely due to setrusumab...
Sep 14


JNJ: JNJ4804 Despite likely efficacy, maintenance Rx concerns over combo in UC
The market continues to underestimate Imaavy's prospects from...
Jun 27


JNJ: New Imaavy faces headwinds from Myasthenia incumbents but promising in other FcRn markets
The market continues to underestimate Imaavy's prospects from...
May 21


VERA: IgAN: Atacicept phase III ORIGIN3: likely positive but Fabhalta will be hard to hurdle
Ahead of VERA’s upcoming ORGIN3 IgA nephropathy trial in 2Q25, our analysis suggests a positive Phase III outcome that is in line with its IgAN competitors. However, longer-term data from a non-BAFF/APRIL competitive class may be a hurdle...
May 15


JNJ/PTGX: Icotrokinra ANTHEM-Ulercative Colitis efficacy similar to oral competitors
Despite headline efficacy in PTGX/JNJ's ulcerative colitis phase 2 ANTHEM-UC at its highest dose, the initial efficacy appears similar to that of already FDA-approved orals and other oral classes in development. With limited safety and patient characteristic disclosure...
Mar 10


JNJ/PTGX: JNJ2113: Concerns over upcoming (Q1) oral IL23 ANTHEM trial in Ulcerative Colitis
With JNJ2113's (icotrokinra) upcoming ulcerative colitis ANTHEM-UC trial reading out this first quarter, our unique UC specific analysis...
Feb 11


NOVN: Ianalumab’s unique Sjögren’s data, likely first
Ianalumab is well placed to be the first treatment to enter the notoriously challenging Sjögren’s syndrome, with its unique data endowing it with credibility for phase III in this indication, which has been fraught with failures in a field of three competitors with otherwise similar data.
Dec 11, 2024


NOVN: Consensus missing large Fabhalta upside
The market continues to underestimate Fabhalta's prospects from current and potential indications. The recent positive APPULSE trial demonstrating Fabhalta's superiority by safely switching from injectable c5 to oral Fabhalta in Primary Nocturnal Haematuria (PNH) along with our unique, comprehensive analysis of Fabhalta's seven in-trial line extensions reveals multi-blockbuster opportunities with minimal competition in at least four other diseases with excellent FDA prospects
Dec 11, 2024


NOVN/AMGN: Cholesterol-busting Lipoprotein (a) drugs likely to lead to new multibillion cardiovascular breakthrough
NOVN lipoprotein (a) cholesterol-lowering pelacarsen is likely to be the first cardiovascular breakthrough in decades by reducing an alternative cholesterol molecule to prevent heart attacks, with AMGN, LLY and SLN close behind...
Dec 11, 2024
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