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Recent Research


JNJ/PTGX: JNJ2113: Concerns over upcoming (Q1) oral IL23 ANTHEM trial in Ulcerative Colitis
With JNJ2113's (icotrokinra) upcoming ulcerative colitis ANTHEM-UC trial reading out this first quarter, our unique UC specific analysis...
Feb 11, 2025


NOVN: Ianalumab’s unique Sjögren’s data, likely first
Ianalumab is well placed to be the first treatment to enter the notoriously challenging Sjögren’s syndrome, with its unique data endowing it with credibility for phase III in this indication, which has been fraught with failures in a field of three competitors with otherwise similar data.
Dec 11, 2024


NOVN: Consensus missing large Fabhalta upside
The market continues to underestimate Fabhalta's prospects from current and potential indications. The recent positive APPULSE trial demonstrating Fabhalta's superiority by safely switching from injectable c5 to oral Fabhalta in Primary Nocturnal Haematuria (PNH) along with our unique, comprehensive analysis of Fabhalta's seven in-trial line extensions reveals multi-blockbuster opportunities with minimal competition in at least four other diseases with excellent FDA prospects
Dec 11, 2024


NOVN/AMGN: Cholesterol-busting Lipoprotein (a) drugs likely to lead to new multibillion cardiovascular breakthrough
NOVN lipoprotein (a) cholesterol-lowering pelacarsen is likely to be the first cardiovascular breakthrough in decades by reducing an alternative cholesterol molecule to prevent heart attacks, with AMGN, LLY and SLN close behind...
Dec 11, 2024


ADC: AZN Dato overall survival misses underscores our long held concerns for ADC's in 1L Lung
Since our first ADC report over a year ago, our analysis has demonstrated significant doubts about all three leading TROP2 ADCs (AZN, GILD, MRK, SKB) achieving overall survival in first-line lung cancer, and we continue to see substantial hurdles for the class..
Oct 3, 2024


WCLC: Hold you HARMONis: Keytruda safe from Summit
Despite the recent large PD1 beat by Summit/Akeso’s ivonescimab (SMT112) versus gold standard Keytruda [MRK] in lung cancer at WCLC24, our unique analysis reveals why we do not share the markets optimism by raising several concerns about replacing the Keytruda standard of care in US/EMA and continue to see Keytruda’s Lung cancer franchise intact.
Sep 22, 2024


NOVN/ROG/IONS/CALTX/AZN: Factor B lacking the X Factor in IgAN
Following the success of Novartis ’ Factor B complement inhibitor Fabhalta , Roche has partnered with IONIS to exploit Factor B inhibition through a form of gene therapy known as antisense oligonucleotide (ASO). However...
Aug 20, 2024


NOVN/ROG: Fabulous Fabhalta halts Piasky blue skies
With the recent approval of Roche’s paroxysmal nocturnal haemoglobinuria (PNH) orphan drug C5 inhibitor Piasky, with its unique subcutaneous delivery, as well as Novartis’s alternative Factor B mechanism of action oral Fabhalta potentially changing the treatment paradigm in PAH , we assess the prospects of the various complement inhibitors in PNH and find oral Fabhalta data compelling and see significant hurdles for Roche’s subcutaneous self-administered Piasky
Jul 28, 2024


ADCs @ ASCO: concerns over Dato-DXd in 1L Lung; GILD 2L OS as bad as AZN; SKB high ORR in unusual trial
Following ASCO 24, we update our detailed analysis of the current phase late-stage data from AZN/Daiichi’s TROPION Gilead’s EVOKE and MRK
Jul 1, 2024


MRNA/MRK: ASCO cancer vaccine data does not address pre-treatment imbalances that may be driving result
While updated ASCO data from MRNA/MRK KEYNOTE 942 suggests maintenance of the RFS difference seen last year, it continues to be driven by an unusual difference in distant spread only, against an underperforming control arm. Our latest analysis continues to demonstrate significant differences in key baseline characteristics that leaves us with concerns over the true treatment effect of Moderna’s addon.
Jun 18, 2024
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