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Recent Research


ROG/SRPT: Duchenne EMBARK likely enought to lessen age restrictions
Despite the headline failure of the phase 3 EMBARK trial in Duchenne, the FDA accepted an efficacy supplement aimed to remove the 4-5y age restriction and the ambulatory requirement and to convert to a traditional approval, based on data from both the new EMBARK and existing ENDEAVOR trials. We assess the likelihood of the FDA converting Elevidys’s approval from accelerated to traditional, lessening the current 4-5y age restriction and the likelihood of the removal of the amb
May 29, 2024


AZN/ROG: Roche/AZN: SERDs restrict or fail
We continue to see well below consensus prospects for Roche’s selective oestrogen receptor degrader (SERD) giredestrant, facing stiff competition from AZN’s camizestrant and already FDA approved alternative elacestrant [Menarini]. Despite the apparent broader success of the AZN competitor, we only see real first line prospects restricted
Apr 23, 2024


CYTK/BMY: aficamten approvable, but may not be better than BMY rival Camzyos
While at first sight, the body of aficamten data in obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (oHCM) may appear slightly ahead of Camzyos on efficacy and safety, with no cases of low heart strength (LVEF) and so fewer dose interruptions, our detailed analysis reveals key differences in...
Feb 29, 2024


MRK: sotatercept prospects in a much larger market of heart failure-induced pulmonary hypertension: big prize awaits
MRK: A second sotatercept market expansion prospect awaits in 1.5 million common heart failure patients who also suffer from pulmonary hypertension. While only preclinical animal model data suggest promising proof of concept, phase 2 placebo-controlled trial CADENCE-PH is due to readout by October 2024. Should this demonstrate a modest benefit, a successful phase 3 could generate multi billion additional revenue...
Feb 5, 2024


MRK: One big hit amongst smaller approvable assets
MRK: We examine in detail, the prospects of five median term Merck pipeline assets, over the next 6 years and find that there are good...
Feb 5, 2024


MRK: MK-0616: Next gen cholesterol pill?
MRK: Ahead of the first of 3 upcoming 2025 oral PCSK9 CORALreef phase III results in 2Q25, our in-depth analysis suggests a favourable...
Feb 5, 2024


BMY/JNJ/BAYN: Bayer AF failure does not reduce chances for Factor XI in stroke
Bayer announced Monday that its Factor XIa phase III trial of asundexian to prevent strokes in high risk patients with atrial...
Nov 20, 2023


AZN/GILD/Daiichi: ADC's face stiff hurdles in 1st line lung cancer
AZN/GILD/Daiichi: Market expectations are running high for ADC’s toxic payload in NSCLC We undertake a detailed analysis the current...
Oct 31, 2023


JNJ/PTGX: JNJ2113: Oral dosing faces hurdles of new rival classes in psoriasis & Ulcerative Colitis
The injectable IL23 class has been successful in treating a wide variety of inflammatory conditions such as psoriasis and inflammatory...
Sep 18, 2023


MRK/MRNA: ASCO: vaccine-PD1 similar to historic PD1 alone
New data from MRK/MRNA cancer vaccine at ASCO last week continues to suggest a large underperformance of Keytruda control arm, along with...
Jun 12, 2023
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